Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-09-09

STL @ SF

Home plate: John Libka

Solid and unspectacular — exactly what the job asks.

B
Umpire Grade
92.0% accurate
0.2
Run Favor
runs, STL
2
ABS Overturns
of 3 reviewed

What this shows — how John Libka called the 151 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 139 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Leo Bernal — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Drew Cavanaugh — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Thomas Saggese — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).3
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.282 · 1-2 ball called strike
    José Fermín vs Blade Tidwell
  2. 2+0.131 · 1-1 strike called ball
    Turner Hill vs Andre Pallante
  3. 3-0.138 · 1-1 ball called strike
    Drew Cavanaugh vs Cade Winquest

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

3 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Leo Bernal — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Drew Cavanaugh — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Thomas Saggese — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 3 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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