Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-09-09

STL @ SF

Home plate: John Libka

“Solid and unspectacular — exactly what the job asks.”

B
Umpire Grade
92.0% accurate
0.2
Run Favor
runs, STL
2
ABS Overturns
of 3 reviewed

What this shows — how John Libka called the 151 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone, or, on a pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge, against its ruling. 139 were right. Below, only the misses are plotted, alongside every challenged pitch.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Leo Bernal — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Drew Cavanaugh — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Thomas Saggese — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).3
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.28▲2 · 1-2 ball called strike
    José Fermín vs Blade Tidwell
  2. 2+0.13▼1 · 1-1 strike called ball
    Turner Hill vs Andre Pallante
  3. 3-0.13▼8 · 1-1 ball called strike
    Drew Cavanaugh vs Cade Winquest

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

3 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Leo Bernal — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Drew Cavanaugh — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Thomas Saggese — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 3 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone). Where the two disagree, the umpire is graded on the ABS ruling.

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