Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-09-10

TEX @ SEA

Home plate: Rob Drake

“You had to throw it down Broadway to get the call.”

C+
Umpire Grade
90.0% accurate
0.0
Run Favor
runs, SEA
3
ABS Overturns
of 4 reviewed

What this shows — how Rob Drake called the 130 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone, or, on a pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge, against its ruling. 117 were right. Below, only the misses are plotted, alongside every challenged pitch.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Danny Jansen — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Cal Raleigh — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Lazaro Montes — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Cal Raleigh — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).4
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.39▲3 · 2-2 strike called ball· challenged ✓
    Corey Seager vs Logan Gilbert
  2. 2+0.39▼8 · 2-2 strike called ball
    Dominic Canzone vs Robby Ahlstrom
  3. 3+0.23▲4 · 0-2 strike called ball
    Wyatt Langford vs Logan Gilbert

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

4 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Danny Jansen — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Cal Raleigh — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Lazaro Montes — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Cal Raleigh — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 4 of 4 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone). Where the two disagree, the umpire is graded on the ABS ruling.

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