Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-09-11

HOU @ TB

Home plate: Jacob Metz

The zone had wings tonight.

B-
Umpire Grade
91.3% accurate
0.5
Run Favor
runs, HOU
3
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Jacob Metz called the 115 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 105 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Christian Walker — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Yainer Diaz — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Richie Palacios — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Liam Hicks — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Liam Hicks — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.395 · 2-2 ball called strike· challenged
    Richie Palacios vs Ethan Pecko
  2. 2-0.194 · 2-0 ball called strike
    Christian Walker vs Drew Rasmussen
  3. 3-0.132 · 1-1 ball called strike· challenged
    Christian Walker vs Drew Rasmussen

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Christian Walker — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Yainer Diaz — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  3. 3Richie Palacios — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Liam Hicks — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  5. 5Liam Hicks — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 5 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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