Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-09-12

SD @ SF

Home plate: Jordan Baker

“Somebody's pitching staff sent a thank-you note.”

B
Umpire Grade
92.7% accurate
1.3
Run Favor
runs, SD
3
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Jordan Baker called the 150 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone, or, on a pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge, against its ruling. 139 were right. Below, only the misses are plotted, alongside every challenged pitch.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Drew Cavanaugh — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Luis Campusano — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Luis Campusano — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Drew Cavanaugh — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Luis Campusano — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.69▲3 · 3-2 strike called ball· challenged ✓
    Luis Campusano vs Cesar Perdomo
  2. 2+0.28▲7 · 1-2 strike called ball
    Ethan Salas vs Jason Foley
  3. 3+0.20▼1 · 2-1 strike called ball· challenged ✓
    Drew Gilbert vs Michael King

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Drew Cavanaugh — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  2. 2Luis Campusano — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Luis Campusano — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Drew Cavanaugh — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  5. 5Luis Campusano — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 5 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone). Where the two disagree, the umpire is graded on the ABS ruling.

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