Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-09-12

SD @ SF

Home plate: Jordan Baker

Somebody's pitching staff sent a thank-you note.

B
Umpire Grade
92.7% accurate
1.3
Run Favor
runs, SD
3
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Jordan Baker called the 150 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 139 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Drew Cavanaugh — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Luis Campusano — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Luis Campusano — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Drew Cavanaugh — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Luis Campusano — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.693 · 3-2 strike called ball· challenged
    Luis Campusano vs Cesar Perdomo
  2. 2+0.287 · 1-2 strike called ball
    Ethan Salas vs Jason Foley
  3. 3+0.201 · 2-1 strike called ball· challenged
    Drew Gilbert vs Michael King

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Drew Cavanaugh — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  2. 2Luis Campusano — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Luis Campusano — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Drew Cavanaugh — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  5. 5Luis Campusano — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 5 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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