Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-09-15

DET @ TOR

Home plate: Adam Beck

“If it was close, it was a strike. The hitters noticed.”

D
Umpire Grade
88.9% accurate
0.6
Run Favor
runs, DET
3
ABS Overturns
of 4 reviewed

What this shows — how Adam Beck called the 180 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 160 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Alejandro Kirk — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Alejandro Kirk — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Josh Smith — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Hao-Yu Lee — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.39▼9 · 2-2 strike called ball
    Davis Schneider vs Brant Hurter
  2. 2-0.28▼3 · 1-2 ball called strike
    Josh Smith vs Drew Anderson
  3. 3-0.28▲7 · 1-2 ball called strike· challenged ✓
    Hao-Yu Lee vs Spencer Arrighetti

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

4 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Alejandro Kirk — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Alejandro Kirk — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  3. 3Josh Smith — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Hao-Yu Lee — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 4 of 4 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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