Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-09-18

MIN @ LAA

Home plate: Austin Jones

“Reliable as a Tuesday: no complaints, no headlines.”

A-
Umpire Grade
94.4% accurate
0.6
Run Favor
runs, LAA
3
ABS Overturns
of 4 reviewed

What this shows — how Austin Jones called the 125 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 118 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Ryan Jeffers — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Ryan Jeffers — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Ryan Jeffers — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Vaughn Grissom — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).4
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.20▼1 · 2-1 strike called ball· challenged ✓
    Jose Siri vs Connor Prielipp
  2. 2+0.19▼7 · 2-0 strike called ball· challenged ✓
    Denzer Guzman vs Connor Prielipp
  3. 3+0.13▼8 · 1-1 strike called ball
    Wade Meckler vs Tommy Nance

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

4 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Ryan Jeffers — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Ryan Jeffers — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Ryan Jeffers — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4Vaughn Grissom — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 2 of 4 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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