Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-09-22

MIA @ CHC

Home plate: Nic Lentz

“You could set a watch by that zone.”

A+
Umpire Grade
97.0% accurate
0.2
Run Favor
runs, CHC
2
ABS Overturns
of 8 reviewed

What this shows — how Nic Lentz called the 200 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 194 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Agustín Ramírez — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Carson Kelly — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Agustín Ramírez — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Nico Hoerner — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: Joe Mack — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).5Challenge 6: Carson Kelly — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).6Challenge 7: Joe Mack — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).7Challenge 8: Esteury Ruiz — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).8
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.39▲7 · 2-2 strike called ball
    Jakob Marsee vs Aaron Civale
  2. 2+0.28▼4 · 1-2 strike called ball· challenged ✓
    Ian Happ vs Janson Junk
  3. 3+0.20▼10 · 2-1 strike called ball
    Pedro Ramírez vs Jack Ralston

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

8 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 6 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Agustín Ramírez — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  2. 2Carson Kelly — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  3. 3Agustín Ramírez — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4Nico Hoerner — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  5. 5Joe Mack — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  6. 6Carson Kelly — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  7. 7Joe Mack — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  8. 8Esteury Ruiz — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 8 of 8 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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