Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-09-23

TOR @ BAL

Home plate: Mark Wegner

“Generous with the corners — the pitchers said thank you.”

C+
Umpire Grade
90.5% accurate
0.2
Run Favor
runs, TOR
1
ABS Overturns
of 3 reviewed

What this shows — how Mark Wegner called the 137 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 124 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Gunnar Henderson — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Pete Alonso — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Brandon Valenzuela — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).3
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.69▼1 · 3-2 ball called strike· challenged ✓
    Gunnar Henderson vs Max Scherzer
  2. 2+0.19▼2 · 2-0 strike called ball
    Colton Cowser vs Max Scherzer
  3. 3+0.13▲4 · 1-1 strike called ball
    Brandon Valenzuela vs Chris Bassitt

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

3 pitches went to the robots · 1 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Gunnar Henderson — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Pete Alonso — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  3. 3Brandon Valenzuela — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 3 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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