Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-10-27

MIL @ TB

Home plate: James Hoye

“Hawkeye did more talking than the umpire tonight.”

D
Umpire Grade
88.5% accurate
0.2
Run Favor
runs, MIL
7
ABS Overturns
of 11 reviewed

What this shows — how James Hoye called the 191 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone, or, on a pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge, against its ruling. 169 were right. Below, only the misses are plotted, alongside every challenged pitch.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Liam Hicks — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Liam Hicks — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: William Contreras — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Liam Hicks — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Taylor Walls — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5Challenge 6: William Contreras — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled). Our tracking puts it on the other side of the line; the grade follows the ruling.6*Challenge 7: Liam Hicks — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).7Challenge 8: Liam Hicks — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).8Challenge 9: Liam Hicks — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).9Challenge 10: William Contreras — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed). Our tracking puts it on the other side of the line; the grade follows the ruling.10*Challenge 11: Liam Hicks — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).11
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

* Graded on the ABS ruling. ABS measures its own zone, set by the batter’s height and taken at the middle of the plate, and our tracking puts this pitch on the other side of the line.

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.28▼5 · 1-2 strike called ball
    Victor Mesa Jr. vs Abner Uribe
  2. 2+0.21▲1 · 3-0 strike called ball
    Christian Yelich vs Griffin Jax
  3. 3-0.20▼8 · 2-1 ball called strike· challenged ✓
    Taylor Walls vs DL Hall

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

11 pitches went to the robots · 7 overturned (ump overruled) · 4 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Liam Hicks — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Liam Hicks — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3William Contreras — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4Liam Hicks — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  5. 5Taylor Walls — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  6. 6William Contreras — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  7. 7Liam Hicks — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  8. 8Liam Hicks — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  9. 9Liam Hicks — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  10. 10William Contreras — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  11. 11Liam Hicks — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 9 of 11 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone). Where the two disagree, the umpire is graded on the ABS ruling.

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