Luke Raley

The card rack

FlagshipLuke Raley #142 · 2026 Topps · 59 recent sales 7N ▲0%

$1.32Raw$12.04PSA 9$35.77PSA 10$47.00BGS 10PSA 10 · 32 nights

Live on eBay now · asking, not sold · as of 2026-09-04 · paid links

$0.99Ungraded$0.99Ungraded$0.99Ungraded

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The rookieLuke Raley #US7 · 2021 Topps Update · 17 recent sales 7N ▲0%

$1.25Raw$11.56PSA 9$32.45PSA 10$42.00BGS 10PSA 10 · 32 nights

Live on eBay now · asking, not sold · as of 2026-09-04 · paid links

$1.25Ungraded$1.49Ungraded$1.50Ungraded

See all on eBay →

Paid link — as an eBay Partner, FVR earns from qualifying purchases. · Flagship = his most-traded card (the market’s reference); the rookie = the top card of his first card year. As of September 4, 2026 · trend is FVR's own nightly archive · prices via SportsCardsPro · what these terms mean

Scout’s note

From Hinckley, Ohio, a seventh-round selection in 2016, Luke Raley has carved out 478 major-league games across four seasons without a full breakout. His EV95 of 108.515 puts him harder than 83% of qualified hitters, but his results on contact run below the physics for all but five percent of the sample — a luck gap of -0.057 that is among the widest on this board. This year for Seattle, 15 home runs in 95 games and a .225 average are the stat line that trails. He is 31, and the breakout list slots him No. 16 of 20. The sprint speed of 28.6 and 28 career steals suggest a player whose legs can help close the gap if the balls start finding grass. The contact quality says they should.

Note written Sep 3 · FVR scout (GLM-5.2)

Current signals

The read: Raley is hitting the ball harder than 83% of the 382 qualified MLB hitters in our sample (EV95 108.5; league median 105.7), while his results on contact run further below the physics than 95% of them. Loud bat, quieter stat line — the breakout shape; he ranks No. 16 of 20 on the breakout board.

OWED — his contact has outrun his line. Where he sits in the league →

EV95 (mph)

108.515

Luck gap (park-adj)

-0.0575

Overlay score

0.646

WAR (season · MLB calc)

0.3

Balls in play

168

Sprint (ft/s)

28.6

Age

31

A market fact, not an engine read: what a club decided about him, on the season before this one. Figures from Cot’s, as of August 24, 2026.

2026 salary

$2.05M

Tax hit

$2.05M

Service time

3 yr 106 d

Options left

0 / 3

Cash and the tax hit are two different rulebooks and are never subtracted from one another — see the payroll board for his club, Seattle Mariners.

A second set of books

The same contract, read by MLB Spreadsheets (Ethan Hullihen), as of August 27, 2026. We keep two sources on this because one source cannot check itself.

Tax AAV

$2.05M

Guaranteed

$2.05M

Term

1 yr

His class

Arb

The tax AAV above is his number under the CBA’s own rulebook, not the average we work out from Cot’s total. On a contract with deferred money the two come apart on purpose — and neither is subtracted from the other.

Collect Luke Raley

If the signal is right, the cardboard usually finds out later. Current listings:

High-end listings ($75+) →

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Not financial advice. We take positions only after publication — never before. Misses stay on the record.