Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record

MLB · LF · Detroit Tigers

Riley Greene

B/T L/L · 6' 2" · 200 lb · born Orlando, FL, USA · age 26 · draft 2019 rd 1 · played LF 125, DH 18 · MLB debut 2022-06-18

602 plate appearances scored this season His season card →

INDEXThe Index — tracked, not flagged

On the record · career milestone this season

500 career hits — Fri, Apr 3 · day game vs. St. Louis Cardinals The scorecard → · The write-up →

The Line of the Day

4-5, 2 HR, 2B, 4 RBI — Sat, Sep 5 · night game vs. Cleveland Guardians The scorecard →

The card rack

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FlagshipRiley Greene #HA-19 · 2025 Topps Home Field Advantage · 210 recent sales 7N ▲0%

$21.94Raw$44.00PSA 9$106PSA 10$137BGS 10PSA 10 · 60 nights

Live on eBay now · asking, not sold · as of 2026-10-12 · paid links

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The rookieRiley Greene #BS-10 · 2023 Bowman Spotlights · 197 recent sales 7N ▲0%

$3.56Raw$24.99PSA 9$40.50PSA 10$53.00BGS 10PSA 10 · 60 nights

Live on eBay now · asking, not sold · as of 2026-10-12 · paid links

See all on eBay →

Paid link — as an eBay Partner, FVR earns from qualifying purchases. · Flagship = his most-traded card (the market’s reference); the rookie = the top card of his first card year. As of October 12, 2026 · trend is FVR's own nightly archive · prices via SportsCardsPro · what these terms mean

Scout’s note

Greene barrels the ball with the best of them — an EV95 of 109.43 puts him in the 91st percentile of qualified MLB bats — and the gap between what he hits and what he shows is barely a thousandth, 0.0114, so the .280 average and 21 homers are earned, not lent. The Orlando kid was a first-round pick in 2019 and sits No. 103 of 406 on the breakout composite; the board takes 20. The contact quality already matches the stat line, with room to climb if the power ticks up.

Note written · FVR scout (GLM-5.2)

We wrote about Greene here — The Overnight: 3-for-4, HR, 3B, BB (July 5, 2026) · 500 career hits (April 3, 2026)

Current signals

The read: Greene is tracked, not flagged: an EV95 of 109.4 (91st percentile of the 406 qualified MLB bats we track; median 105.8) with results within 0.011 of what the physics support — nothing owed, nothing borrowed. The boards hunt mispricing, and his price is right. He sits No. 103 of 406 on the breakout composite; the board takes 20.

SQUARE — the line and the bat agree. Where he sits in the league →

Age
26
The shape of the seasonEV95 108.0 → 109.0 mphweekly · trailing 75 balls in play · full-season EV95: 109.43 mph — the boards use the season figureEV95 is the top of his range, not the middle — the line can fall in the same weeks his typical contact rises.

Where he stands

through

Against the 406 qualified major-league hitters — 100+ balls in play this season, the same field the boards are chosen out of. Right is better on every row.

  1. EV95109.491
  2. Deserved (xVal)0.48096
  3. Got (aVal)0.46094
  4. Luck gap (park-adjusted)flipped-0.01160

today · 30 days ago, against the 375 men who qualified then · the tick is the midpoint · the number at the right is the percentile, the number beside it the measurement itself.

A second set of books

The same contract, read by MLB Spreadsheets (Ethan Hullihen), as of . We keep two sources on this because one source cannot check itself.

Tax AAV
$5.00M
Term
1 yr

What the sheet prices each season at

Season202620272028
SalaryArb 1Arb 2Arb 3

A base salary under his own reading, and never subtracted from the cash figure above: a signing bonus lands in one and not the other, so the two disagree on most men without either being wrong. And the sheet does not mark which future seasons are GUARANTEED — a club option and a projected arbitration award are both just a number here, so read past the end of the deal as his forecast rather than as money owed.

Two sources, read a month apart, put this guarantee at the same dollar. That is the check, and it passed.

The tax AAV above is his number under the CBA’s own rulebook, not the average we work out from Cot’s total. On a contract with deferred money the two come apart on purpose — and neither is subtracted from the other.

Collect Riley Greene

If the signal is right, the cardboard usually finds out later. Current listings:

Riley Greene cards on eBay →

High-end listings ($75+) →

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Not financial advice. We take positions only after publication — never before. Misses stay on the record.

Umpire favor

+3.5 net runs over 69 graded games — the zone was kind to the umpire on balance.

Biggest swings: +0.7 · +0.7

→ all umpire grades

The line

YearTeamLvlGABRHHRRBISBBBSOAVGOPS
2022Detroit TigersMLB933764695542136120.253.683
2023Detroit TigersMLB99378511091137735114.288.796
2024Detroit TigersMLB137512821342474464156.262.827
2025Detroit TigersMLB1576008415536111246201.258.806
2026Detroit TigersMLB140511791432175371157.280.844
MLB CAREER62623773426369733917252748.268.798

Bio & season lines: MLB StatsAPI · refreshed nightly · abbreviations →