Riley Greene

The Chase

8 HR from 100 — our pace: ≈ November 13, 2026 Follow the chase →

On the record · career milestone this season

500 career hits — Fri, Apr 3 · day game vs. St. Louis Cardinals The scorecard → · The write-up →

The card rack

FlagshipRiley Greene #HA-19 · 2025 Topps Home Field Advantage · 243 recent sales 7N ▲0%

$23.62Raw$40.00PSA 9$106PSA 10$137BGS 10PSA 10 · 45 nights

Live on eBay now · asking, not sold · as of 2026-08-28 · paid links

$23.99Ungraded$24.00Ungraded$24.00Ungraded

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The rookieRiley Greene #BS-10 · 2023 Bowman Spotlights · 189 recent sales 7N ▲0%

$1.75Raw$24.99PSA 9$39.00PSA 10$51.00BGS 10PSA 10 · 43 nights

Live on eBay now · asking, not sold · as of 2026-08-28 · paid links

$0.99Ungraded$1.50Ungraded$1.50Ungraded

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Paid link — as an eBay Partner, FVR earns from qualifying purchases. · Flagship = his most-traded card (the market’s reference); the rookie = the top card of his first card year. As of August 28, 2026 · trend is FVR's own nightly archive · prices via SportsCardsPro · what these terms mean

Scout’s note

Greene, a first-round pick from Orlando in 2019, debuted in Detroit in 2022 and is 25 now with 16 home runs and a .273 average. His EV95 of 109.45 sits in the 91st percentile of 372 tracked bats — far north of the 105.9 median — and a luck gap of -0.021 means the batting line and the physics are in sync. He's No. 70 of 372 on the breakout composite; the board takes 20, so he's a bat the engine already likes, not a misprice it's chasing.

Current signals

The read: Greene is tracked, not flagged: an EV95 of 109.5 (91st percentile of the 375 qualified MLB bats we track; median 105.8) with results within 0.020 of what the physics support — nothing owed, nothing borrowed. The boards hunt mispricing, and his price is right. He sits No. 75 of 375 on the breakout composite; the board takes 20.

SQUARE — the line and the bat agree. Where he sits in the league →

EV95 (mph)

109.45

Luck gap (park-adj)

-0.0201

Overlay score

0.3883

WAR (season · MLB calc)

2.5

Balls in play

291

Age

25

A market fact, not an engine read: what a club decided about him, on the season before this one. Figures from Cot’s, as of August 25, 2026.

2026 salary

$5.00M

Tax hit

$5.00M

Service time

3 yr 110 d

Options left

3 / 3

Cash and the tax hit are two different rulebooks and are never subtracted from one another — see the payroll board for his club, Detroit Tigers.

A second set of books

The same contract, read by MLB Spreadsheets (Ethan Hullihen), as of August 20, 2026. We keep two sources on this because one source cannot check itself.

Tax AAV

$5.00M

Guaranteed

$5.00M

Term

1 yr

His class

Arb

The tax AAV above is his number under the CBA’s own rulebook, not the average we work out from Cot’s total. On a contract with deferred money the two come apart on purpose — and neither is subtracted from the other.

Collect Riley Greene

If the signal is right, the cardboard usually finds out later. Current listings:

High-end listings ($75+) →

Paid link — as an eBay Partner, FVR earns from qualifying purchases.

Not financial advice. We take positions only after publication — never before. Misses stay on the record.

The Bureau on Riley Greene

The scouting press, in their own words