Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-06-10

MIN @ DET

Home plate: Will Little

The zone kept its promises.

A-
Umpire Grade
94.8% accurate
0.5
Run Favor
runs, DET
1
ABS Overturns
of 4 reviewed

What this shows — how Will Little called the 194 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 184 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Alex Jackson — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Alex Jackson — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Alex Jackson — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: Dillon Dingler — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).4
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.398 · 2-2 strike called ball
    Riley Greene vs Anthony Banda
  2. 2-0.303 · 3-1 ball called strike
    Kevin McGonigle vs Mike Paredes
  3. 3+0.304 · 3-1 strike called ball· challenged
    Riley Greene vs Taylor Rogers

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

4 pitches went to the robots · 1 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Alex Jackson — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Alex Jackson — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  3. 3Alex Jackson — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  4. 4Dillon Dingler — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 4 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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