Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
Support the paperGet the Digest
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-03-27

AZ @ LAD

Home plate: Cory Blaser

“Down the middle. Both dugouts had the same zone.”

A
Umpire Grade
95.8% accurate
0.3
Run Favor
runs, LAD
3
ABS Overturns
of 4 reviewed

What this shows — how Cory Blaser called the 165 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 158 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Will Smith — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Gabriel Moreno — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Will Smith — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Will Smith — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).4
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.30▲2 · 3-1 strike called ball
    Pavin Smith vs Emmet Sheehan
  2. 2-0.30▲4 · 3-1 ball called strike
    Jordan Lawlar vs Jack Dreyer
  3. 3-0.19▲3 · 2-0 ball called strike
    Gabriel Moreno vs Emmet Sheehan

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

4 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is Hawkeye ground truth, no model involved.

  1. 1Will Smith — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Gabriel Moreno — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Will Smith — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Will Smith — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 1 of 4 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.