Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-03-30

TEX @ BAL

Home plate: Ron Kulpa

A tilt to the evening — the numbers say which way.

D
Umpire Grade
88.5% accurate
1.3
Run Favor
runs, BAL
4
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Ron Kulpa called the 156 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 138 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Adley Rutschman — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Colton Cowser — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Wyatt Langford — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: Kyle Higashioka — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Ryan Mountcastle — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.398 · 2-2 ball called strike· challenged
    Kyle Higashioka vs Rico Garcia
  2. 2-0.306 · 3-1 ball called strike
    Wyatt Langford vs Dietrich Enns
  3. 3+0.282 · 1-2 strike called ball
    Colton Cowser vs Jack Leiter

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 4 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Adley Rutschman — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Colton Cowser — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Wyatt Langford — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  4. 4Kyle Higashioka — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  5. 5Ryan Mountcastle — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 4 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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