Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
Support the paperGet the Digest
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-03-31

SF @ SD

Home plate: Will Little

“Both benches went home with nothing to say — the rarest kind of night.”

A
Umpire Grade
95.7% accurate
0.0
Run Favor
runs, SF
1
ABS Overturns
of 2 reviewed

What this shows — how Will Little called the 162 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 155 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Freddy Fermin — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Xander Bogaerts — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).2
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.21▲2 · 3-0 ball called strike
    Rafael Devers vs Germán Márquez
  2. 2+0.13▲2 · 1-0 strike called ball
    Casey Schmitt vs Germán Márquez
  3. 3-0.13▲3 · 1-0 ball called strike
    Matt Chapman vs Germán Márquez

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

2 pitches went to the robots · 1 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is Hawkeye ground truth, no model involved.

  1. 1Freddy Fermin — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Xander Bogaerts — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 1 of 2 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.