Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-04-03

CHC @ CLE

Home plate: Dan Merzel

You wanted a strike, you had to earn it twice.

B-
Umpire Grade
91.5% accurate
0.1
Run Favor
runs, CHC
1
ABS Overturns
of 3 reviewed

What this shows — how Dan Merzel called the 152 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 139 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Brayan Rocchio — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Moisés Ballesteros — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Ian Happ — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).3
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.285 · 1-2 strike called ball
    Pete Crow-Armstrong vs Joey Cantillo
  2. 2+0.103 · 0-1 strike called ball
    Ian Happ vs Joey Cantillo
  3. 3+0.103 · 0-1 strike called ball
    Gabriel Arias vs Colin Rea

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

3 pitches went to the robots · 1 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Brayan Rocchio — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  2. 2Moisés Ballesteros — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Ian Happ — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 2 of 3 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

Paste the link anywhere — the card previews on its own. Or take it with you.

Post on X