Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-04-04

MIL @ KC

Home plate: Lance Barksdale

A small strike zone, generously enforced for the offense.

C+
Umpire Grade
90.6% accurate
0.1
Run Favor
runs, MIL
3
ABS Overturns
of 6 reviewed

What this shows — how Lance Barksdale called the 180 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 163 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Gary Sánchez — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Jac Caglianone — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Jac Caglianone — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: Gary Sánchez — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: Maikel Garcia — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).5Challenge 6: Gary Sánchez — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).6
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.281 · 1-2 strike called ball
    Garrett Mitchell vs Seth Lugo
  2. 2-0.206 · 2-1 ball called strike· challenged
    Jac Caglianone vs Brandon Sproat
  3. 3-0.193 · 2-0 ball called strike
    Brice Turang vs Seth Lugo

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

6 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Gary Sánchez — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Jac Caglianone — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Jac Caglianone — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  4. 4Gary Sánchez — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  5. 5Maikel Garcia — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  6. 6Gary Sánchez — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 6 of 6 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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