Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-04-06

CHC @ TB

Home plate: Brian Walsh

Reliable as a Tuesday: no complaints, no headlines.

B+
Umpire Grade
93.2% accurate
0.4
Run Favor
runs, CHC
2
ABS Overturns
of 3 reviewed

What this shows — how Brian Walsh called the 147 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 137 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Nick Fortes — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Alex Bregman — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Carson Kelly — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.305 · 3-1 ball called strike
    Jake Fraley vs Jameson Taillon
  2. 2+0.137 · 1-1 strike called ball· challenged
    Dylan Carlson vs Hunter Bigge
  3. 3-0.138 · 1-1 ball called strike
    Alex Bregman vs Hunter Bigge

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

3 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Nick Fortes — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Alex Bregman — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  3. 3Carson Kelly — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 2 of 3 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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