Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-04-14

COL @ HOU

Home plate: Rob Drake

Corner-to-corner and then some.

B+
Umpire Grade
93.7% accurate
0.0
Run Favor
runs, HOU
2
ABS Overturns
of 4 reviewed

What this shows — how Rob Drake called the 143 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 134 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Tyler Freeman — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Christian Walker — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Christian Vázquez — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: Mickey Moniak — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).4
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.196 · 2-0 ball called strike· challenged
    Tyler Freeman vs Steven Okert
  2. 2-0.135 · 1-1 ball called strike
    Christian Walker vs Antonio Senzatela
  3. 3-0.137 · 1-1 ball called strike· challenged
    Christian Walker vs Juan Mejia

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

4 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Tyler Freeman — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Christian Walker — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Christian Vázquez — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  4. 4Mickey Moniak — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 4 of 4 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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