Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-04-14

TB @ CWS

Home plate: Alex Tosi

A steady night's work behind the plate.

B-
Umpire Grade
91.7% accurate
0.0
Run Favor
runs, CWS
3
ABS Overturns
of 7 reviewed

What this shows — how Alex Tosi called the 181 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 166 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Edgar Quero — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Nick Fortes — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Jonathan Aranda — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: Jonny DeLuca — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Edgar Quero — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5Challenge 6: Edgar Quero — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).6Challenge 7: Nick Fortes — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).7
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.217 · 3-0 strike called ball· challenged
    Jonny DeLuca vs Brandon Eisert
  2. 2-0.196 · 2-0 ball called strike
    Andrew Benintendi vs Hunter Bigge
  3. 3+0.136 · 1-1 strike called ball
    Jonathan Aranda vs Brandon Eisert

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

7 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 4 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Edgar Quero — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  2. 2Nick Fortes — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Jonathan Aranda — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  4. 4Jonny DeLuca — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  5. 5Edgar Quero — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  6. 6Edgar Quero — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  7. 7Nick Fortes — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 6 of 7 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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