Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-04-15

SF @ CIN

Home plate: Quinn Wolcott

A pitcher's-nightmare zone — you had to paint it to get it.

B
Umpire Grade
92.2% accurate
0.5
Run Favor
runs, SF
3
ABS Overturns
of 4 reviewed

What this shows — how Quinn Wolcott called the 154 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 142 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Daniel Susac — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Heliot Ramos — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Casey Schmitt — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Tyler Stephenson — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.201 · 2-1 strike called ball
    Casey Schmitt vs Rhett Lowder
  2. 2-0.204 · 2-1 ball called strike
    Matt McLain vs Tyler Mahle
  3. 3+0.192 · 2-0 strike called ball
    Ke'Bryan Hayes vs Tyler Mahle

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

4 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Daniel Susac — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Heliot Ramos — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  3. 3Casey Schmitt — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Tyler Stephenson — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 4 of 4 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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