Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-04-17

CWS @ ATH

Home plate: Chad Fairchild

A pitcher's-nightmare zone — you had to paint it to get it.

B-
Umpire Grade
91.6% accurate
0.0
Run Favor
runs, ATH
3
ABS Overturns
of 6 reviewed

What this shows — how Chad Fairchild called the 179 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 164 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Shea Langeliers — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Miguel Vargas — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Edgar Quero — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: Shea Langeliers — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Munetaka Murakami — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).5Challenge 6: Elvis Alvarado — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).6
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.201 · 2-1 strike called ball
    Colson Montgomery vs Aaron Civale
  2. 2-0.202 · 2-1 ball called strike
    Chase Meidroth vs Aaron Civale
  3. 3-0.197 · 2-0 ball called strike
    Nick Kurtz vs Davis Martin

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

6 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Shea Langeliers — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Miguel Vargas — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Edgar Quero — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  4. 4Shea Langeliers — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  5. 5Munetaka Murakami — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  6. 6Elvis Alvarado — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 5 of 6 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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