Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-04-18

DET @ BOS

Home plate: Felix Neon

Off the corner was close enough tonight.

C+
Umpire Grade
90.1% accurate
0.5
Run Favor
runs, DET
3
ABS Overturns
of 3 reviewed

What this shows — how Felix Neon called the 162 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 146 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Riley Greene — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Ceddanne Rafaela — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Connor Wong — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.399 · 2-2 strike called ball
    Gleyber Torres vs Zack Kelly
  2. 2+0.284 · 1-2 strike called ball
    Trevor Story vs Tarik Skubal
  3. 3-0.286 · 1-2 ball called strike
    Willson Contreras vs Tarik Skubal

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

3 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 0 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Riley Greene — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Ceddanne Rafaela — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Connor Wong — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 2 of 3 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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