Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record

MLB · 1B · Boston Red Sox

Willson Contreras

B/T R/R · 6' 0" · 240 lb · born Puerto Cabello, Venezuela · age 34 · played 1B 129, DH 3 · MLB debut 2016-06-17

536 plate appearances scored this season His season card →

INDEXThe Index — tracked, not flagged

On the record · career milestone this season

1,000 career hits — Fri, May 22 · night game vs. Minnesota Twins The scorecard →

The card rack

Paid link — as an eBay Partner, FVR earns from qualifying purchases.

FlagshipWillson Contreras [Gold] #180 · 2026 Topps · 47 recent sales 7N ▲0%

$1.78Raw$12.97PSA 9$38.31PSA 10$50.00BGS 10PSA 10 · 60 nights

Live on eBay now · asking, not sold · as of 2026-10-12 · paid links

See all on eBay →

The rookieWillson Contreras #164 · 2016 Topps Now · 19 recent sales 7N ▲0%

$19.61Raw$9.05PSA 9$22.68PSA 10$56.77BGS 10PSA 10 · 60 nights

Live on eBay now · asking, not sold · as of 2026-10-12 · paid links

See all on eBay →

Paid link — as an eBay Partner, FVR earns from qualifying purchases. · Flagship = his most-traded card (the market’s reference); the rookie = the top card of his first card year. As of October 12, 2026 · trend is FVR's own nightly archive · prices via SportsCardsPro · what these terms mean

Scout’s note

Out of Puerto Cabello, Venezuela, Contreras has played 1,208 big-league games and is still hitting the ball hard at 34 — an EV95 of 110.725, good for the 97th percentile of the 406 bats we track, with results within 0.0138 of what the contact supports. His .902 OPS for Boston this year is earned, not borrowed. He sits No. 154 on the breakout composite, where the board takes 20, and the gap between price and physics is closed.

Note written · FVR scout (GLM-5.2)

We wrote about Contreras here — The Buzz July 18, 2026 · The Overnight: 3-for-3, HR, 2B, BB (April 6, 2026)

Current signals

The read: Contreras is tracked, not flagged: an EV95 of 110.7 (97th percentile of the 406 qualified MLB bats we track; median 105.8) with results within 0.014 of what the physics support — nothing owed, nothing borrowed. The boards hunt mispricing, and his price is right. He sits No. 154 of 406 on the breakout composite; the board takes 20.

SQUARE — the line and the bat agree. Where he sits in the league →

EV95 (mph)
110.725
Age
34
The shape of the seasonEV95 109.8 → 106.2 mphweekly · trailing 75 balls in play · full-season EV95: 110.725 mph — the boards use the season figureEV95 is the top of his range, not the middle — the line can fall in the same weeks his typical contact rises.

Where he stands

through

Against the 406 qualified major-league hitters — 100+ balls in play this season, the same field the boards are chosen out of. Right is better on every row.

  1. EV95110.797
  2. Deserved (xVal)0.46194
  3. Got (aVal)0.47197
  4. Luck gap (park-adjusted)flipped0.01430

today · 30 days ago, against the 375 men who qualified then · the tick is the midpoint · the number at the right is the percentile, the number beside it the measurement itself.

A second set of books

The same contract, read by MLB Spreadsheets (Ethan Hullihen), as of . We keep two sources on this because one source cannot check itself.

Tax AAV
$21.3M
Term
5 yrs

What the sheet prices each season at

Season202620272028
Salary$18.0M$17.0M$20.0M

A base salary under his own reading, and never subtracted from the cash figure above: a signing bonus lands in one and not the other, so the two disagree on most men without either being wrong. And the sheet does not mark which future seasons are GUARANTEED — a club option and a projected arbitration award are both just a number here, so read past the end of the deal as his forecast rather than as money owed.

Two sources, read a month apart, put this guarantee at the same dollar. That is the check, and it passed.

The tax AAV above is his number under the CBA’s own rulebook, not the average we work out from Cot’s total. On a contract with deferred money the two come apart on purpose — and neither is subtracted from the other.

The Wire

▬ Quiet week on X.

X chatter, trailing 2 days · as of 2026-10-06 · newest post 2026-10-05 · summarized by Grok (xAI) · how this works →

Collect Willson Contreras

If the signal is right, the cardboard usually finds out later. Current listings:

Willson Contreras cards on eBay →

High-end listings ($75+) →

Paid link — as an eBay Partner, FVR earns from qualifying purchases.

Not financial advice. We take positions only after publication — never before. Misses stay on the record.

The Bureau on Willson Contreras

The scouting press, in their own words

Contreras suggests the Red Sox relied too much on their computer https://t.co/iChB47U4NT

Jon Heyman · New York Post · October 1 · on X →

It's 2-1 after Willson Contreras's solo home run in the sixth inning. It was Boston's first run in 26 postseason innings going back to the sixth inning of Game 2 of last year's Wild Card Series, per @ESPNInsight.

Jorge Castillo · ESPN · September 30 · on X →

Some positive Willson Contreras developments today: https://t.co/RJohPwcfRe

Chris Cotillo · MassLive · September 27 · on X →

Umpire favor

+0.7 net runs over 54 graded games — the zone was kind to the umpire on balance.

Biggest swings: -0.6 · -0.6

→ all umpire grades

The postseason

Willson Contreras’s playoff games, each on its reconciled card. Kept apart from the season line below — none of it is counted in a season number on this page.

The line

YearTeamLvlGABRHHRRBISBBBSOAVGOPS
2016Chicago CubsMLB762523371123522667.282.845
2017Chicago CubsMLB11737750104217454598.276.855
2018Chicago CubsMLB138474501181054453121.249.729
2019Chicago CubsMLB10536057982464138102.272.888
2020Chicago CubsMLB57189374672612057.243.763
2021Chicago CubsMLB12841361982157552138.237.778
2022Chicago CubsMLB113416651012255445103.243.815
2023St. Louis CardinalsMLB125428551132067651111.264.825
2024St. Louis CardinalsMLB843014879153644596.262.848
2025St. Louis CardinalsMLB135490701262080544142.257.791
2026Boston Red SoxMLB130448681232781359135.275.902
MLB CAREER120841485941077199629404781170.260.822

Bio & season lines: MLB StatsAPI · refreshed nightly · abbreviations →