Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record

MLB · 1B · Boston Red Sox

Willson Contreras

B/T R/R · 6' 0" · 240 lb · born Puerto Cabello, Venezuela · age 34 · played 1B 120, DH 1 · MLB debut 2016-06-17

Last 14 days (through 2026-08-28): 10 G · .289 AVG · 2 HR · 6 RBI · .900 OPS

502 plate appearances scored this season His season card →

INDEXThe Index — tracked, not flagged

The Chase

2 HR from 200 — our pace: ≈ September 8, 2026 Follow the chase →

On the record · career milestone this season

1,000 career hits Fri, May 22 · night game vs. Minnesota Twins The scorecard →

The card rack

FlagshipWillson Contreras [Gold] #180 · 2026 Topps · 55 recent sales 7N 0.6%

$1.93Raw$13.00PSA 9$38.50PSA 10$50.00BGS 10PSA 10 · 45 nights

Live on eBay now · asking, not sold · as of 2026-08-28 · paid links

See all on eBay →

The rookieWillson Contreras #164 · 2016 Topps Now · 31 recent sales 7N 0%

$19.63Raw$9.05PSA 9$10.50PSA 10$56.77BGS 10PSA 10 · 43 nights

Live on eBay now · asking, not sold · as of 2026-08-28 · paid links

See all on eBay →

Paid link — as an eBay Partner, FVR earns from qualifying purchases. · Flagship = his most-traded card (the market’s reference); the rookie = the top card of his first card year. As of August 28, 2026 · trend is FVR's own nightly archive · prices via SportsCardsPro · what these terms mean

Scout’s note

Contreras hits the ball as hard as almost anyone: an EV95 of 111.27 puts him in the 97th percentile of our 366 tracked MLB bats. He sits 156th of 366 on the breakout composite — the board takes 20 — and his luck gap of 0.0206, the distance between what he hits and what he shows, is small enough that production and physics agree. At 34, the .284 average, 25 homers, and .927 OPS are what the contact supports. Out of Puerto Cabello, Venezuela, he broke in 2016 with 197 homers across 1,194 games.

We wrote about Contreras hereThe Buzz July 18, 2026 · The Overnight: 3-for-3, HR, 2B, BB (April 6, 2026)

Current signals

The read: Contreras is in the Index for the milestone watch — 2 HR shy of 200. Milestone nights are when the hobby pays attention, so the page is up for the chase. The boards stay honest: a milestone is an event, not a signal.

SQUAREthe line and the bat agree. Where he sits in the league →

Age
34
The shape of the seasonEV95 109.8 108.8 mphweekly · trailing 75 balls in play · full-season EV95: 111.06 mph — the boards use the season figureEV95 is the top of his range, not the middle — the line can fall in the same weeks his typical contact rises.

Where he stands

through

Against the 375 qualified major-league hitters — 100+ balls in play this season, the same field the boards are chosen out of. Right is better on every row.

  1. EV95111.197
  2. Deserved (xVal)0.46494
  3. Got (aVal)0.47797
  4. Luck gap (park-adjusted)flipped0.01626

today · 30 days ago, against the 330 men who qualified then · the tick is the midpoint · the number at the right is the percentile, the number beside it the measurement itself.

A second set of books

The same contract, read by MLB Spreadsheets (Ethan Hullihen), as of . We keep two sources on this because one source cannot check itself.

Tax AAV
$21.3M
Term
5 yrs

What the sheet prices each season at

Season202620272028
Salary$18.0M$17.0M$20.0M

A base salary under his own reading, and never subtracted from the cash figure above: a signing bonus lands in one and not the other, so the two disagree on most men without either being wrong. And the sheet does not mark which future seasons are GUARANTEED — a club option and a projected arbitration award are both just a number here, so read past the end of the deal as his forecast rather than as money owed.

Two sources, read a month apart, put this guarantee at the same dollar. That is the check, and it passed.

The tax AAV above is his number under the CBA’s own rulebook, not the average we work out from Cot’s total. On a contract with deferred money the two come apart on purpose — and neither is subtracted from the other.

Collect Willson Contreras

If the signal is right, the cardboard usually finds out later. Current listings:

Willson Contreras cards on eBay →

High-end listings ($75+) →

Paid link — as an eBay Partner, FVR earns from qualifying purchases.

Not financial advice. We take positions only after publication — never before. Misses stay on the record.

The Bureau on Willson Contreras

The scouting press, in their own words

⚾ New Cross Examination ⚾ In today's #FantasyBaseball/Prospect notes, I discussed 1️⃣3️⃣ players, including: - Willson Contreras #DirtyWater - Reid Detmers #RepTheHalo - Gage Wood #RingTheBell - Jhonny Level #SFGiants https://t.co/Qq5ymT81jc

Eric Cross · RotoBaller · August 22 · on X →

Willson Contreras with a 450 foot 💣 https://t.co/MX4tD1nPPC

Eric Cross · RotoBaller · August 21 · on X →

Red Sox tonight vs. Diamondbacks: Jones DH, Rafaela CF, Abreu RF, Contreras 1B, Rutschman C, Durbin 3B, Monasterio SS, White LF, Sogard 2B

Chris Cotillo · MassLive · August 17 · on X →

Umpire favor

+1.7 net runs over 45 graded gamesthe zone was kind to him on balance.

Biggest swings: -1.0 · +0.4

→ all umpire grades

The line

YearTeamLvlGABRHHRRBISBBBSOAVGOPS
2016Chicago CubsMLB762523371123522667.282.845
2017Chicago CubsMLB11737750104217454598.276.855
2018Chicago CubsMLB138474501181054453121.249.729
2019Chicago CubsMLB10536057982464138102.272.888
2020Chicago CubsMLB57189374672612057.243.763
2021Chicago CubsMLB12841361982157552138.237.778
2022Chicago CubsMLB113416651012255445103.243.815
2023St. Louis CardinalsMLB125428551132067651111.264.825
2024St. Louis CardinalsMLB843014879153644596.262.848
2025St. Louis CardinalsMLB135490701262080544142.257.791
2026Boston Red SoxMLB121420661182678355124.281.916
MLB CAREER119941205921072198626404741159.260.822

Bio & season lines: MLB StatsAPI · refreshed nightly · abbreviations →