Willson Contreras

The Chase

8 HR from 200 — projection passed; due any night Follow the chase →

Scout’s note

Contreras signed out of Puerto Cabello, Venezuela and owns a career .260 average with 192 home runs across 1166 big-league games. An Index name: one of the game's biggest seasons, watched nightly. No call, because the engine found nothing mispriced to call.

Current signals

The read: Contreras is tracked, not flagged: an EV95 of 111.8 (97th percentile of the 306 qualified hitters we grade) with results within 0.001 of what the physics support — nothing owed, nothing borrowed. The boards hunt mispricing, and his price is right. He sits No. 85 of 306 on the breakout composite; the board takes 20.

EV95 (mph)

111.83

Luck gap (park-adj)

0.0007

Overlay score

0.3374

WAR (season · MLB calc)

2.8

Balls in play

223

Age

34

Collect Willson Contreras

If the signal is right, the cardboard usually finds out later. Current listings:

High-end listings ($75+) →

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Not financial advice. We take positions only after publication — never before. Misses stay on the record.