Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-04-21

STL @ MIA

Home plate: Manny Gonzalez

Called a fair game and let the players decide it.

B
Umpire Grade
92.4% accurate
0.0
Run Favor
runs, STL
4
ABS Overturns
of 8 reviewed

What this shows — how Manny Gonzalez called the 171 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 158 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Liam Hicks — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Liam Hicks — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Pedro Pagés — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Iván Herrera — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: Agustín Ramírez — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).5Challenge 6: Connor Norby — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).6Challenge 7: Pedro Pagés — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).7Challenge 8: Pedro Pagés — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).8
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.131 · 1-1 strike called ball· challenged
    Alec Burleson vs Chris Paddack
  2. 2+0.135 · 1-1 strike called ball· challenged
    Connor Norby vs Dustin May
  3. 3-0.137 · 1-1 ball called strike· challenged
    Iván Herrera vs Tyler Phillips

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

8 pitches went to the robots · 4 overturned (ump overruled) · 4 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Liam Hicks — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Liam Hicks — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Pedro Pagés — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4Iván Herrera — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  5. 5Agustín Ramírez — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  6. 6Connor Norby — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  7. 7Pedro Pagés — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  8. 8Pedro Pagés — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 7 of 8 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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