Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-04-22

LAD @ SF

Home plate: Jordan Baker

The black wasn't in play tonight.

B
Umpire Grade
92.3% accurate
0.1
Run Favor
runs, SF
4
ABS Overturns
of 6 reviewed

What this shows — how Jordan Baker called the 130 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 120 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Patrick Bailey — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Patrick Bailey — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Jung Hoo Lee — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Will Smith — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Will Smith — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5Challenge 6: Patrick Bailey — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).6
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.391 · 2-2 strike called ball· challenged
    Kyle Tucker vs Tyler Mahle
  2. 2+0.305 · 3-1 strike called ball· challenged
    Drew Gilbert vs Shohei Ohtani
  3. 3+0.201 · 2-1 strike called ball
    Will Smith vs Tyler Mahle

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

6 pitches went to the robots · 4 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Patrick Bailey — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Patrick Bailey — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  3. 3Jung Hoo Lee — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Will Smith — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  5. 5Will Smith — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  6. 6Patrick Bailey — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 5 of 6 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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