Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-04-22

MIN @ NYM

Home plate: Ryan Wills

The kind of night where the umpire is the least of the story.

A-
Umpire Grade
94.0% accurate
0.2
Run Favor
runs, NYM
4
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Ryan Wills called the 150 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 141 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Juan Soto — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Mark Vientos — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Ryan Jeffers — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Marcus Semien — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Marcus Semien — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.282 · 1-2 strike called ball
    Tommy Pham vs Connor Prielipp
  2. 2-0.286 · 1-2 ball called strike· challenged
    Mark Vientos vs Kendry Rojas
  3. 3-0.238 · 0-2 ball called strike
    Byron Buxton vs Brooks Raley

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 4 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Juan Soto — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  2. 2Mark Vientos — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Ryan Jeffers — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4Marcus Semien — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  5. 5Marcus Semien — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 5 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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