Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-04-23

MIL @ DET

Home plate: Gabe Morales

An honest evening's grade: nothing loud, nothing missed by much.

B
Umpire Grade
92.8% accurate
0.3
Run Favor
runs, DET
2
ABS Overturns
of 3 reviewed

What this shows — how Gabe Morales called the 152 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 141 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Gary Sánchez — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Brandon Lockridge — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Gary Sánchez — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.287 · 1-2 strike called ball
    Blake Perkins vs Tarik Skubal
  2. 2-0.217 · 3-0 ball called strike
    Joey Ortiz vs Tyler Holton
  3. 3-0.199 · 2-0 ball called strike
    Joey Ortiz vs Burch Smith

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

3 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Gary Sánchez — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Brandon Lockridge — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  3. 3Gary Sánchez — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 3 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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