Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-04-24

CHC @ LAD

Home plate: Willie Traynor

The zone kept to itself — the hitters said thanks.

B+
Umpire Grade
93.1% accurate
0.0
Run Favor
runs, LAD
2
ABS Overturns
of 2 reviewed

What this shows — how Willie Traynor called the 145 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 135 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Will Smith — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Carson Kelly — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.396 · 2-2 strike called ball· challenged
    Ian Happ vs Emmet Sheehan
  2. 2+0.397 · 2-2 strike called ball· challenged
    Shohei Ohtani vs Ryan Rolison
  3. 3+0.212 · 3-0 strike called ball
    Kyle Tucker vs Jameson Taillon

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

2 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 0 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Will Smith — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Carson Kelly — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 2 of 2 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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