Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
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Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-04-30

AZ @ MIL

Home plate: Mike Estabrook

“The zone shrank when the pitchers needed it most.”

C+
Umpire Grade
90.6% accurate
0.1
Run Favor
runs, AZ
1
ABS Overturns
of 4 reviewed

What this shows — how Mike Estabrook called the 159 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 144 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: David Hamilton — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: James McCann — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: James McCann — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: William Contreras — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).4
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.21▼8 · 3-0 ball called strike
    Tyler Black vs James McCann
  2. 2+0.20▼6 · 2-1 strike called ball
    Brice Turang vs Philip Abner
  3. 3+0.13▲4 · 1-1 strike called ball
    Alek Thomas vs Shane Drohan

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

4 pitches went to the robots · 1 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is Hawkeye ground truth, no model involved.

  1. 1David Hamilton — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  2. 2James McCann — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3James McCann — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  4. 4William Contreras — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 4 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.