Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-04-30

COL @ CIN

Home plate: Bruce Dreckman

Reliable as a Tuesday: no complaints, no headlines.

A
Umpire Grade
95.3% accurate
0.3
Run Favor
runs, COL
2
ABS Overturns
of 4 reviewed

What this shows — how Bruce Dreckman called the 127 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 121 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Hunter Goodman — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Troy Johnston — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Tyler Stephenson — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Dane Myers — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).4
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.238 · 0-2 strike called ball· challenged
    TJ Rumfield vs Tony Santillan
  2. 2-0.131 · 1-0 ball called strike
    Tyler Freeman vs Andrew Abbott
  3. 3-0.135 · 1-0 ball called strike
    Matt McLain vs Michael Lorenzen

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

4 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Hunter Goodman — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Troy Johnston — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  3. 3Tyler Stephenson — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4Dane Myers — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 4 of 4 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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