Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-05-04

BAL @ NYY

Home plate: Mike Estabrook

Reliable as a Tuesday: no complaints, no headlines.

B+
Umpire Grade
93.9% accurate
0.3
Run Favor
runs, NYY
3
ABS Overturns
of 4 reviewed

What this shows — how Mike Estabrook called the 147 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 138 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Austin Wells — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Jazz Chisholm Jr. — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Austin Wells — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Trent Grisham — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.281 · 1-2 strike called ball
    Aaron Judge vs Shane Baz
  2. 2-0.201 · 2-1 ball called strike
    Jazz Chisholm Jr. vs Shane Baz
  3. 3+0.208 · 2-1 strike called ball· challenged
    Trent Grisham vs Lou Trivino III

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

4 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is Hawkeye ground truth, no model involved.

  1. 1Austin Wells — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  2. 2Jazz Chisholm Jr. — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Austin Wells — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Trent Grisham — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 2 of 4 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.