Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-05-05

CIN @ CHC

Home plate: Jacob Metz

Nothing that'll trend, and on this beat that's a compliment.

A
Umpire Grade
95.1% accurate
0.3
Run Favor
runs, CHC
3
ABS Overturns
of 4 reviewed

What this shows — how Jacob Metz called the 203 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 193 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Miguel Amaya — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Miguel Amaya — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Tyler Stephenson — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Pete Crow-Armstrong — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.288 · 1-2 ball called strike
    Michael Conforto vs Tony Santillan
  2. 2+0.236 · 0-2 strike called ball
    Seiya Suzuki vs Andrew Abbott
  3. 3+0.213 · 3-0 strike called ball· challenged
    TJ Friedl vs Jameson Taillon

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

4 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Miguel Amaya — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Miguel Amaya — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  3. 3Tyler Stephenson — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4Pete Crow-Armstrong — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 4 of 4 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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