Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-05-06

CIN @ CHC

Home plate: Tom Hanahan

Down the middle. Both dugouts had the same zone.

A-
Umpire Grade
94.7% accurate
0.9
Run Favor
runs, CIN
4
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Tom Hanahan called the 187 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 177 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: JJ Bleday — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Carson Kelly — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Michael Busch — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Carson Kelly — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Tyler Stephenson — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.394 · 2-2 strike called ball· challenged
    Spencer Steer vs Colin Rea
  2. 2+0.233 · 0-2 strike called ball
    TJ Friedl vs Colin Rea
  3. 3-0.201 · 2-1 ball called strike
    Seiya Suzuki vs Brady Singer

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 4 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1JJ Bleday — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  2. 2Carson Kelly — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Michael Busch — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Carson Kelly — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  5. 5Tyler Stephenson — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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