Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-05-06

NYM @ COL

Home plate: James Hoye

Down the middle. Both dugouts had the same zone.

B
Umpire Grade
92.6% accurate
0.7
Run Favor
runs, NYM
2
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how James Hoye called the 163 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 151 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Hunter Goodman — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Luis Torrens — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Luis Torrens — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: Tyler Freeman — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Luis Torrens — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.232 · 0-2 strike called ball· challenged
    Carson Benge vs Michael Lorenzen
  2. 2+0.209 · 2-1 strike called ball· challenged
    Mickey Moniak vs Sean Manaea
  3. 3-0.138 · 1-0 ball called strike
    Troy Johnston vs Luke Weaver

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Hunter Goodman — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  2. 2Luis Torrens — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Luis Torrens — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  4. 4Tyler Freeman — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  5. 5Luis Torrens — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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