Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-05-07

TB @ BOS

Home plate: Tyler Jones

The catcher barely had to sell a thing.

A
Umpire Grade
95.7% accurate
0.2
Run Favor
runs, TB
1
ABS Overturns
of 2 reviewed

What this shows — how Tyler Jones called the 138 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 132 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Nick Fortes — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Connor Wong — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.204 · 2-1 strike called ball
    Ben Williamson vs Jake Bennett
  2. 2+0.192 · 2-0 strike called ball
    Jonny DeLuca vs Jake Bennett
  3. 3-0.139 · 1-0 ball called strike
    Jonny DeLuca vs Ryan Watson

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

2 pitches went to the robots · 1 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Nick Fortes — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  2. 2Connor Wong — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 1 of 2 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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