Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
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Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-05-08

LAA @ TOR

Home plate: Mike Estabrook

“One side pitched to a slightly bigger plate.”

C+
Umpire Grade
90.2% accurate
1.6
Run Favor
runs, TOR
1
ABS Overturns
of 2 reviewed

What this shows — how Mike Estabrook called the 143 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 129 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Sebastián Rivero — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.69▼3 · 3-2 strike called ball· challenged ✓
    Vladimir Guerrero Jr. vs Reid Detmers
  2. 2+0.28▼2 · 1-2 strike called ball
    Ernie Clement vs Reid Detmers
  3. 3-0.28▲8 · 1-2 ball called strike
    Mike Trout vs Jeff Hoffman

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

2 pitches went to the robots · 1 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is Hawkeye ground truth, no model involved.

  1. 1Sebastián Rivero — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  2. 2Vladimir Guerrero Jr. — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 2 of 2 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.