Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-05-09

CHC @ TEX

Home plate: James Hoye

Textbook top to bottom — a quiet masterclass.

A
Umpire Grade
95.6% accurate
0.1
Run Favor
runs, TEX
1
ABS Overturns
of 2 reviewed

What this shows — how James Hoye called the 158 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 151 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Ian Happ — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Kyle Higashioka — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.309 · 3-1 ball called strike
    Michael Conforto vs Gavin Collyer
  2. 2+0.283 · 1-2 strike called ball· challenged
    Seiya Suzuki vs Jack Leiter
  3. 3+0.201 · 2-1 strike called ball
    Ian Happ vs Jack Leiter

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

2 pitches went to the robots · 1 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Ian Happ — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  2. 2Kyle Higashioka — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 1 of 2 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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