Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
Support the paperGet the Digest
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-05-12

PHI @ BOS

Home plate: Dan Merzel

“You could set a watch by that zone.”

A
Umpire Grade
96.2% accurate
0.3
Run Favor
runs, BOS
1
ABS Overturns
of 2 reviewed

What this shows — how Dan Merzel called the 131 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 126 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Alec Bohm — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Adolis García — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).2
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.13▲4 · 1-1 ball called strike
    J.T. Realmuto vs Brayan Bello
  2. 2-0.13▼8 · 1-0 ball called strike
    Mickey Gasper vs José Alvarado
  3. 3+0.10▼7 · 0-1 strike called ball
    Trevor Story vs Zack Wheeler

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

2 pitches went to the robots · 1 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is Hawkeye ground truth, no model involved.

  1. 1Alec Bohm — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Adolis García — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 1 of 2 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.