Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-05-12

SEA @ HOU

Home plate: Jim Wolf

A small strike zone, generously enforced for the offense.

B
Umpire Grade
92.5% accurate
0.2
Run Favor
runs, HOU
3
ABS Overturns
of 6 reviewed

What this shows — how Jim Wolf called the 147 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 136 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Cal Raleigh — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Christian Vázquez — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Randy Arozarena — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Cam Smith — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: Dominic Canzone — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5Challenge 6: Cal Raleigh — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).6
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.281 · 1-2 strike called ball· challenged
    Yordan Alvarez vs Bryan Woo
  2. 2-0.205 · 2-1 ball called strike
    J.P. Crawford vs Jayden Murray
  3. 3+0.139 · 1-1 strike called ball
    Luke Raley vs AJ Blubaugh

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

6 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Cal Raleigh — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Christian Vázquez — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  3. 3Randy Arozarena — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Cam Smith — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  5. 5Dominic Canzone — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  6. 6Cal Raleigh — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 4 of 6 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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