Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record

MLB · DH · Houston Astros

Yordan Alvarez

B/T L/R · 6' 4" · 237 lb · born Las Tunas, Cuba · age 29 · played DH 134, LF 25 · MLB debut 2019-06-09

Last 14 days (through 2026-10-11): 1 G · .250 AVG · 0 HR · 1 RBI · .650 OPS

693 plate appearances scored this season His season card →

INDEXThe Index — tracked, not flagged

On the record · career milestones this season

500 career runs scored — Fri, Jul 24 · night game vs. Chicago White Sox The scorecard → · The write-up →

200 career home runs — Fri, Jul 10 · night game vs. Texas Rangers The scorecard → · The write-up →

500 career RBI — Fri, Apr 3 · night game vs. Athletics The scorecard → · The write-up →

The card rack

Paid link — as an eBay Partner, FVR earns from qualifying purchases.

FlagshipYordan Alvarez #UV-6 · 2024 Topps Chrome Ultraviolet All-Stars · 131 recent sales 7N ▲0%

$40.85Raw$51.60PSA 9$143PSA 10$185BGS 10PSA 10 · 60 nights

Live on eBay now · asking, not sold · as of 2026-10-11 · paid links

See all on eBay →

The rookieYordan Alvarez #200 · 2020 Topps Chrome · 746 recent sales 7N ▼1.2%

$2.99Raw$19.00PSA 9$42.00PSA 10$77.97BGS 10PSA 10 · 60 nights

Live on eBay now · asking, not sold · as of 2026-10-11 · paid links

See all on eBay →

Paid link — as an eBay Partner, FVR earns from qualifying purchases. · Flagship = his most-traded card (the market’s reference); the rookie = the top card of his first card year. As of October 11, 2026 · trend is FVR's own nightly archive · prices via SportsCardsPro · what these terms mean

Scout’s note

Yordan Alvarez's EV95 of 111.48 lands in the 98th percentile of 406 qualified MLB bats, and his luck gap of -0.0309 says the numbers are real, not borrowed. His .316 average leads the majors; his 42 home runs rank fourth. The breakout composite puts him at No. 22 of 406, and the board takes 20 — he sits just outside what we chase, because there's nothing to chase. He is what the physics say. From Las Tunas, Cuba, 29 years old, 6.8 WAR: the price is right.

Note written · FVR scout (GLM-5.2)

We wrote about Alvarez here — The Buzz September 28, 2026 · September 23, 2026 · September 18, 2026 · September 8, 2026 · and 9 more

Current signals

The read: Alvarez is tracked, not flagged: an EV95 of 111.5 (98th percentile of the 406 qualified MLB bats we track; median 105.8) with results within 0.031 of what the physics support — nothing owed, nothing borrowed. The boards hunt mispricing, and his price is right. He sits No. 22 of 406 on the breakout composite; the board takes 20.

OWED — his contact has outrun his line. Where he sits in the league →

Age
29
The shape of the seasonEV95 110.9 → 110.1 mphweekly · trailing 75 balls in play · full-season EV95: 111.48 mph — the boards use the season figureEV95 is the top of his range, not the middle — the line can fall in the same weeks his typical contact rises.

Where he stands

through

Against the 406 qualified major-league hitters — 100+ balls in play this season, the same field the boards are chosen out of. Right is better on every row.

  1. EV95111.598
  2. Deserved (xVal)0.52199
  3. Got (aVal)0.48898
  4. Luck gap (park-adjusted)flipped-0.03181

today · 30 days ago, against the 375 men who qualified then · the tick is the midpoint · the number at the right is the percentile, the number beside it the measurement itself.

A second set of books

The same contract, read by MLB Spreadsheets (Ethan Hullihen), as of . We keep two sources on this because one source cannot check itself.

Tax AAV
$19.2M
Guaranteed
$115.0M
Term
6 yrs
His class
Extension

What the sheet prices each season at

Season202620272028
Salary$26.0M$26.0M$26.0M

A base salary under his own reading, and never subtracted from the cash figure above: a signing bonus lands in one and not the other, so the two disagree on most men without either being wrong. And the sheet does not mark which future seasons are GUARANTEED — a club option and a projected arbitration award are both just a number here, so read past the end of the deal as his forecast rather than as money owed.

Two sources, read a month apart, put this guarantee at the same dollar. That is the check, and it passed.

The tax AAV above is his number under the CBA’s own rulebook, not the average we work out from Cot’s total. On a contract with deferred money the two come apart on purpose — and neither is subtracted from the other.

Collect Yordan Alvarez

If the signal is right, the cardboard usually finds out later. Current listings:

Yordan Alvarez cards on eBay →

High-end listings ($75+) →

Paid link — as an eBay Partner, FVR earns from qualifying purchases.

Not financial advice. We take positions only after publication — never before. Misses stay on the record.

The Bureau on Yordan Alvarez

The scouting press, in their own words

Yordan Alvarez could never. #ThatsMyMVP https://t.co/I8SFoiPn2q

Lance Brozdowski · independent · September 29 · on X →

The Houston Astros’ last two batting champions are both Cuban-born: Yuli Gurriel (2021) Yordan Alvarez (2026) https://t.co/K2jPqdVgHw

Francys Romero · BeisbolFR · September 27 · on X →

Yordan Alvarez became the 4th Cuban-born player to win a batting title in a single MLB season. A historic 2026 for Alvarez. 🇨🇺 Yordan Álvarez (.316) 2026 AL Yandy Díaz (.330) 2023 AL Yuli Gurriel (.319) 2021 AL Tony Oliva (.337) 1971 AL Tony Oliva (.321) 1965 AL Tony Oliva https://t.co/BbF71KYv6S

Francys Romero · BeisbolFR · September 27 · on X →

Umpire favor

+6.3 net runs over 57 graded games — the zone was kind to the umpire on balance.

Biggest swings: +0.8 · +0.7

→ all umpire grades

The postseason

Yordan Alvarez’s playoff games, each on its reconciled card. Kept apart from the season line below — none of it is counted in a season number on this page.

The line

YearTeamLvlGABRHHRRBISBBBSOAVGOPS
2019Houston AstrosMLB873135898277805294.3131.067
2020Houston AstrosMLB282214001.250.958
2021Houston AstrosMLB1445379214933104150145.277.877
2022Houston AstrosMLB135470951443797178106.3061.019
2023Houston AstrosMLB11441077120319706992.293.990
2024Houston AstrosMLB14755288170358666995.308.959
2025Houston AstrosMLB48165174562712833.273.797
2026Houston AstrosMLB158567105179421061109120.3161.033
MLB CAREER835302253490721259910455686.300.975

Bio & season lines: MLB StatsAPI · refreshed nightly · abbreviations →