Yordan Alvarez

On the record · career milestones this season

500 career runs scored — Fri, Jul 24 · night game vs. Chicago White Sox The scorecard → · The write-up →

200 career home runs — Fri, Jul 10 · night game vs. Texas Rangers The scorecard → · The write-up →

500 career RBI — Fri, Apr 3 · night game vs. Athletics The scorecard → · The write-up →

The Line of the Day

4-5, 3 2B, 2 RBI, 1 R — Sun, Aug 2 · day game vs. Texas Rangers The scorecard →

The card rack

FlagshipYordan Alvarez #UV-6 · 2024 Topps Chrome Ultraviolet All-Stars · 154 recent sales 7N ▼1.1%

$36.25Raw$57.11PSA 9$143PSA 10$185BGS 10PSA 10 · 46 nights

Live on eBay now · asking, not sold · as of 2026-08-27 · paid links

$4.89Ungraded$12.99Ungraded$34.99Ungraded

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The rookieYordan Alvarez #200 · 2020 Topps Chrome · 1099 recent sales 7N ▼2%

$3.00Raw$18.88PSA 9$49.00PSA 10$75.00BGS 10PSA 10 · 42 nights

Live on eBay now · asking, not sold · as of 2026-08-27 · paid links

$3.50Ungraded$3.55Ungraded$3.99Ungraded

See all on eBay →

Paid link — as an eBay Partner, FVR earns from qualifying purchases. · Flagship = his most-traded card (the market’s reference); the rookie = the top card of his first card year. As of August 27, 2026 · trend is FVR's own nightly archive · prices via SportsCardsPro · what these terms mean

Scout’s note

Yordan Alvarez is the exception on this board — a star, not a sleeper — but the engine still sees daylight between what he's hitting and what he's showing. His EV95 of 112.265 is higher than 99 percent of the 372-hitter sample, a number almost nobody in baseball touches, yet his results on contact run below the physics further than 88 percent of the group. The luck gap of -0.0436 is the smallest on the breakout board, which makes sense: when you're hitting .323 with 36 home runs and 91 RBI, the stat line is already doing most of the work the physics predicts. A 29-year-old from Las Tunas with a .977 career OPS and 206 career home runs, Alvarez leads the league in batting average and ranks second in home runs. The reason he's No. 10 on the breakout board and not higher is that there isn't much gap left to close — but the engine says there's still some.

Current signals

The read: Alvarez is hitting the ball harder than 99% of the 373 qualified MLB hitters in our sample (EV95 112.3; league median 105.8), while his results on contact run further below the physics than 88% of them. Loud bat, quieter stat line — the breakout shape; he ranks No. 10 of 20 on the breakout board.

OWED — his contact has outrun his line. Where he sits in the league →

EV95 (mph)

112.255

Luck gap (park-adj)

-0.0437

Overlay score

0.7197

WAR (season · MLB calc)

5.9

Balls in play

370

Sprint (ft/s)

25.1

Age

29

A market fact, not an engine read: what a club decided about him, on the season before this one. Figures from Cot’s, as of August 23, 2026.

2026 salary

$26.83M

Tax hit

$19.17M

Service time

6 yr 113 d

Guaranteed

$115M

Cash and the tax hit are two different rulebooks and are never subtracted from one another — see the payroll board for his club, Houston Astros.

A second set of books

The same contract, read by MLB Spreadsheets (Ethan Hullihen), as of August 20, 2026. We keep two sources on this because one source cannot check itself.

Tax AAV

$19.2M

Guaranteed

$115.0M

Term

6 yrs

His class

Extension

The tax AAV above is his number under the CBA’s own rulebook, not the average we work out from Cot’s total. On a contract with deferred money the two come apart on purpose — and neither is subtracted from the other.

Collect Yordan Alvarez

If the signal is right, the cardboard usually finds out later. Current listings:

High-end listings ($75+) →

Paid link — as an eBay Partner, FVR earns from qualifying purchases.

Not financial advice. We take positions only after publication — never before. Misses stay on the record.