Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-05-02

HOU @ BOS

Home plate: Erich Bacchus

The zone kept to itself — the hitters said thanks.

B-
Umpire Grade
91.5% accurate
0.3
Run Favor
runs, BOS
2
ABS Overturns
of 3 reviewed

What this shows — how Erich Bacchus called the 153 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 140 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Yainer Diaz — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Masataka Yoshida — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Ceddanne Rafaela — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).3
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.693 · 3-2 strike called ball
    Jarren Duran vs Spencer Arrighetti
  2. 2+0.307 · 3-1 strike called ball
    Yordan Alvarez vs Ryan Watson
  3. 3-0.134 · 1-1 ball called strike
    Dustin Harris vs Connelly Early

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

3 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Yainer Diaz — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Masataka Yoshida — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Ceddanne Rafaela — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 3 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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