Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-05-12

TB @ TOR

Home plate: Chris Segal

A steady night's work behind the plate.

A-
Umpire Grade
94.0% accurate
0.2
Run Favor
runs, TB
2
ABS Overturns
of 4 reviewed

What this shows — how Chris Segal called the 201 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 189 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Davis Schneider — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Brandon Valenzuela — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Nick Fortes — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Richie Palacios — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).4
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.303 · 3-1 ball called strike· challenged
    Davis Schneider vs Shane McClanahan
  2. 2-0.304 · 3-1 ball called strike
    Myles Straw vs Shane McClanahan
  3. 3+0.133 · 1-1 strike called ball
    Davis Schneider vs Shane McClanahan

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

4 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Davis Schneider — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Brandon Valenzuela — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  3. 3Nick Fortes — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4Richie Palacios — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 4 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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