Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-05-14

MIA @ MIN

Home plate: Tom Hanahan

The zone kept its promises.

B
Umpire Grade
92.2% accurate
0.3
Run Favor
runs, MIN
1
ABS Overturns
of 4 reviewed

What this shows — how Tom Hanahan called the 153 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 141 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Luke Keaschall — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Liam Hicks — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Liam Hicks — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Ryan Jeffers — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).4
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.308 · 3-1 strike called ball· challenged
    Xavier Edwards vs Kendry Rojas
  2. 2+0.285 · 1-2 strike called ball
    Luke Keaschall vs Anthony Bender
  3. 3-0.132 · 1-1 ball called strike
    Jakob Marsee vs Zebby Matthews

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

4 pitches went to the robots · 1 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Luke Keaschall — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  2. 2Liam Hicks — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  3. 3Liam Hicks — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4Ryan Jeffers — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 4 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

Paste the link anywhere — the card previews on its own. Or take it with you.

Post on X