Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
Support the paperGet the Digest
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-05-17

BAL @ WSH

Home plate: Brennan Miller

“Nothing that'll trend, and on this beat that's a compliment.”

B
Umpire Grade
92.7% accurate
0.6
Run Favor
runs, WSH
3
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Brennan Miller called the 165 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 153 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Samuel Basallo — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Keibert Ruiz — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Samuel Basallo — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Keibert Ruiz — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: James Wood — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.69▲6 · 3-2 ball called strike
    Colton Cowser vs Miles Mikolas
  2. 2-0.28▲4 · 1-2 ball called strike
    Taylor Ward vs Miles Mikolas
  3. 3+0.23▲4 · 0-2 strike called ball
    Taylor Ward vs Miles Mikolas

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is Hawkeye ground truth, no model involved.

  1. 1Samuel Basallo — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Keibert Ruiz — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Samuel Basallo — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Keibert Ruiz — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  5. 5James Wood — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 2 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.