Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
Support the paperGet the Digest
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-05-17

LAD @ LAA

Home plate: Alex MacKay

“Down the middle. Both dugouts had the same zone.”

A
Umpire Grade
96.2% accurate
0.1
Run Favor
runs, LAD
3
ABS Overturns
of 3 reviewed

What this shows — how Alex MacKay called the 130 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 125 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Logan O'Hoppe — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Logan O'Hoppe — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Logan O'Hoppe — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.30▲2 · 3-1 strike called ball
    Max Muncy vs Grayson Rodriguez
  2. 2-0.28▲6 · 1-2 ball called strike
    Freddie Freeman vs Mitch Farris
  3. 3+0.09▼2 · 0-0 strike called ball
    Josh Lowe vs Roki Sasaki

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

3 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 0 upheld (ump confirmed). This is Hawkeye ground truth, no model involved.

  1. 1Logan O'Hoppe — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Logan O'Hoppe — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Logan O'Hoppe — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 0 of 3 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.