Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-05-18

CIN @ PHI

Home plate: Lance Barksdale

The kind of night where the umpire is the least of the story.

B+
Umpire Grade
93.5% accurate
0.2
Run Favor
runs, PHI
2
ABS Overturns
of 3 reviewed

What this shows — how Lance Barksdale called the 139 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 130 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Bryce Harper — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Edmundo Sosa — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: JJ Bleday — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.698 · 3-2 ball called strike· challenged
    JJ Bleday vs José Alvarado
  2. 2-0.304 · 3-1 ball called strike· challenged
    Edmundo Sosa vs Nick Lodolo
  3. 3+0.283 · 1-2 strike called ball
    JJ Bleday vs Andrew Painter

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

3 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Bryce Harper — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  2. 2Edmundo Sosa — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3JJ Bleday — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 3 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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