Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
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Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-05-18

MIL @ CHC

Home plate: Derek Thomas

“Called it the way the rulebook drew it up.”

A
Umpire Grade
96.5% accurate
0.3
Run Favor
runs, MIL
2
ABS Overturns
of 3 reviewed

What this shows — how Derek Thomas called the 141 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 136 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Carson Kelly — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: William Contreras — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Carson Kelly — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.30▲5 · 3-1 strike called ball
    Christian Yelich vs Shota Imanaga
  2. 2+0.28▲3 · 1-2 strike called ball· challenged
    Jackson Chourio vs Shota Imanaga
  3. 3-0.13▲5 · 1-1 ball called strike
    Sal Frelick vs Ethan Roberts

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

3 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is Hawkeye ground truth, no model involved.

  1. 1Carson Kelly — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  2. 2William Contreras — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Carson Kelly — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 0 of 3 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.