Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
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Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-05-25

CIN @ NYM

Home plate: Vic Carapazza

“Called it the way the rulebook drew it up.”

A
Umpire Grade
96.5% accurate
0.2
Run Favor
runs, NYM
2
ABS Overturns
of 4 reviewed

What this shows — how Vic Carapazza called the 171 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 165 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Luis Torrens — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Carson Benge — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Tyler Stephenson — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Tyler Stephenson — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.23▼3 · 0-2 strike called ball
    Brett Baty vs Nick Lodolo
  2. 2-0.23▼9 · 0-2 ball called strike· challenged ✓
    Brett Baty vs Graham Ashcraft
  3. 3-0.13▲4 · 1-0 ball called strike
    Nathaniel Lowe vs Nolan McLean

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

4 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is Hawkeye ground truth, no model involved.

  1. 1Luis Torrens — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  2. 2Carson Benge — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  3. 3Tyler Stephenson — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Tyler Stephenson — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 4 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.