Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-05-26

HOU @ TEX

Home plate: Adrian Johnson

Nothing off the plate, and not much on the black either.

B
Umpire Grade
92.3% accurate
0.6
Run Favor
runs, HOU
3
ABS Overturns
of 3 reviewed

What this shows — how Adrian Johnson called the 129 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 119 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Kyle Higashioka — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Kyle Higashioka — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Kyle Higashioka — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.281 · 1-2 strike called ball
    Christian Walker vs Jack Leiter
  2. 2-0.218 · 3-0 ball called strike
    Evan Carter vs AJ Blubaugh
  3. 3-0.207 · 2-1 ball called strike
    Isaac Paredes vs Jakob Junis

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

3 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 0 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Kyle Higashioka — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Kyle Higashioka — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Kyle Higashioka — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 3 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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